Ukraine-Russia Crimean Conflict Escalates. Will this Turn into a War?
War with Russia in Donbas claimed the lives of more than three thousand Ukrainian military
In addition to casualties among the military,&# 160; in&# 160; armed&# 160; 3,353 civilians died in the conflict in Donbass,&# 160; noted in the message of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense
KIEV – In the Donbass, as a result of the armed conflict unleashed by Russia, 3,094 Ukrainian servicemen were killed, and almost 12,000 soldiers were injured.
As reported on July 2 by the Ukrainian National News Agency “Ukrinform”, this was stated by Leonid Golopatyuk, Head of the Main Directorate of International Cooperation and Verification of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, during an online meeting of the OSCE Security Cooperation Forum..
“Defending its independence and territorial integrity against Russian aggression, my country has to pay a terrible price. As a result of the armed conflict unleashed by Russia, 3,094 have already died and almost 12 thousand of Ukraine’s defenders have been wounded, “said Lieutenant General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Leonid Golopatyuk.
He recalled that the war in Donbass claimed the lives of 3,353 civilians, and more than 7,000 Ukrainian citizens were injured and maimed. About 1.8 million Ukrainians were forced to leave their homes, Leonid Golopatyuk stressed.
He said that Russia’s armed aggression against Ukraine, in fact, has become an unprecedented challenge to the modern security system..
“For the first time since World War II, an attempt has been made to change the stable international order in Europe, including by military means,” Ukrinform reports Leonid Golopatyuk..
On the settlement of the conflict after the Paris summit
Member of the Public Council at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, political scientist Andrey Buzarov believes that today there is no positive trend for resolving the situation in Donbass, the death of Ukrainians continues and the process of destruction of infrastructure is underway.
“The coronavirus has only complicated the process, the format of negotiations between Dmitry Kozak and Andrey Yermak does not work. This was the most ideal bilateral format for negotiations between Ukraine and Russia. What the parties agreed on at the meeting of the Normandy Four in Paris on December 9, 2019, in fact, was not crowned with success, “- says Andrey Buzarov to the correspondent of the Russian service of the Voice of America.
According to him, the ongoing conflict in Donbass is associated with a “failure in the negotiation process” within the country: the government does not demonstrate political will to stabilize the situation, fulfill the obligations taken at the negotiations in Paris.
“Russia saw that the government was not strong enough and took a break. And we see that the formation of the Advisory Council is taking place, and what kind of people are involved there, how the profile minister for reintegration behaves in relation to many people from Donbass – in fact, a decorative structure of the Poroshenko era is being created. All this suggests that the approach to Donbass both inside the country and on the external arena is preserved, as in the days of the previous political team, ”emphasizes Andrey Buzarov.
He believes that even on humanitarian issues – organizing the crossing of the demarcation line, attitudes towards citizens from uncontrolled territories – one can observe the politicization of the settlement process..
“People” hang around “between the checkpoints, there are no conditions for displaced persons, there are no specialists, competent persons who know the situation in the region in specialized structures in Donbass, there is no normal discussion, without national radical ideas,” emphasizes Andrei Buzarov.
One of the tasks of the authorities is to hold elections in the autumn in the uncontrolled territories of Donbass, given the current dynamics of negotiations and settlement of the situation, he considers it difficult to do.
Legislative initiatives and Donbass
Political scientist Alexey Yakubin notes that now one of the key lines in Donbass is the holding of local elections in the fall of 2020 in controlled and uncontrolled territories.
“By this point, the conditions of the Paris communiqué need to be implemented, for this it is necessary to accelerate: a new law on the peculiarities of self-government of certain districts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions has not been presented, it should reflect the Steinmeier formula, there is no law on amnesty and procedures for how elections will be held in Donbass … Without these legislative acts, it is difficult to imagine the next meeting of the leaders of the countries participating in the “Normandy format” in Berlin “, – says Alexei Yakubin to the correspondent of the Russian service of the” Voice of America “.
He recalls that Volodymyr Zelenskyy won the elections, positioning himself as the president of the world..
“And it’s important for him to implement peace initiatives. He is opposed by an aggressive political minority that lost the elections, ultra-right politicians active on the street and on social networks. There was an initiative by a native of Donetsk, showman Sergei Sivokha regarding the launch of the National Platform for Dialogue in the East, but it did not take place, although it can be assumed that this project was launched on the basis of the initiatives of Volodymyr Zelensky, ”notes Oleksiy Yakubin.
The negotiations in Paris in December 2019 in the “Normandy format”, according to political scientist Alexei Yakubin, made it possible to achieve progress on the exchange of detainees, the withdrawal of troops.
“The coronavirus has made its own innovations, but today the possibility of opening new checkpoints for people on the contact line is being discussed. Over the past few weeks, there have been two significant meetings – a trip of the Donbass coordinator and the head of the President’s office, Andrei Yermak, first to Berlin and then to Paris. A new concept for the implementation of the Paris communiqué was presented, ”says Alexey Yakubin.
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