What Will Happen to US-Russia Relations Under Biden?
US Presidential Election and Prospects for US-Russian Relations
Russian experts are skeptical about the chances of improving interaction between Washington and Moscow
Experts interviewed by the Voice of America Russian Service are skeptical about the likelihood of an improvement in US-Russian relations, regardless of the outcome of the US presidential campaign..
Recall that the Democratic candidate Joe Biden promised that if he becomes president, and the intelligence community finds evidence of Russian interference in the 2020 elections, then Moscow will “pay an appropriate price for it.” In addition, Biden noted that the Russian Federation on the world stage poses the greatest threat to the Americans, “in terms of undermining our security and alliances.”.
The incumbent President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated that he is in favor of “getting along” with Russia. At the same time, he has repeatedly stressed that under his administration, more sanctions were imposed on Moscow than ever before in US history..
Viktor Kuvaldin: “The state of relations between Moscow and Washington does not depend too much on who will become the owner of the White House”
Head of the Department of Social and Political Sciences, Moscow School of Economics, Moscow State University Victor Kuvaldin believes that the state of relations between Moscow and Washington does not depend too much on who will become the owner of the White House. He explains this by the fact that, as he claims, almost all key groups of the American elite are now opposed to Russia..
“If Donald Trump wins, then, taking into account the second presidential term, he probably will not be constrained by thoughts of re-elections and is still determined to dialogue (with Moscow) and to try, if not improve, then at least stabilize bilateral relations, – says the interlocutor of the “Voice of America”. – But it is possible that (as a result of the elections) the entire Congress will come under the control of the Democrats. And then Trump will also not be allowed to do anything particularly significant (in the context of establishing a dialogue between the United States and the Russian Federation) “.
If Joe Biden wins, it is also unlikely to bring significant changes to the current pattern of affairs, Kuvaldin suggests. According to him, Biden is not the kind of person who can be expected to take harsh or ill-considered steps against the mainstream of the American establishment. “Hence there are all fears that Russian-American relations at least will not improve under him,” the expert says..
“In my opinion, the only realistic prospect is the possibility of their (US-Russian relations) further deterioration,” he said..
“We do not know not only who will win, but also how he will get this victory, and whether the opposite side will recognize it, which, of course, will also be projected to one degree or another on Russian-American relations,” concludes Viktor Kuvaldin.
Valery Garbuzov: “If something changes for the better, it will be a miracle”
Director of the USA and Canada Institute Valery Garbuzov admitted that he sees no prospects not even for improving bilateral relations, but for them to enter a constructive channel. In his opinion, there is no reason to believe that in the event of a victory of one or another presidential candidate, the very outline of these relations will seriously change..
“If Trump wins, how can this lead to a change in his policy (towards Moscow)? – asks Garbuzov. – He regularly signed sanctions against Russia and did not lift any of them. If Biden wins, all the more it will not lead to positive change. He has already named Russia as the main threat to the United States. So there is no hope that he intends to build constructive relations with Russia. If something changes for the better in this direction, it will be a miracle. “.
Valery Garbuzov is confident that the tough foreign policy course towards Moscow under the new American administration will continue regardless of who will have the majority in the Senate – Democrats or Republicans. “All decisions regarding Russia were applied on a bipartisan basis, they did not even cause much controversy among opponents from two different political camps,” the expert emphasizes. “I think that in this regard, they will remain in full agreement in any scenario in the Senate after the current elections.”.